April 29, 2021

How to Avoid False Positives and False Negatives when Diagnosing Adult ADHD?

A recent paper by Margaret Sibley and colleagues addresses a key issue in the diagnosis of adult ADHD. Is it sufficient to only collect data from the patient being diagnosed or are informants useful or, perhaps, essential, for diagnosing ADHD in adults? Dr. Sibley presented a systematic review of twelve studies that prospectively followed ADHD children into adulthood. Each of these studies asked a simple question: What fraction of ADHD youth continued to have ADHD in adulthood. Surprisingly, the estimates of ADHD's persistence ranged from a low of4% to a high of 77%. They found two study features that accounted for much of this wide range. The first was the nature of the informant; did the study rely only on the patient's report, or were other informants consulted. The second was the use of a strict diagnostic threshold of six symptoms. When they limited the analysis to studies that used informants and eliminated the six symptom threshold, the range of estimates was much narrower, 40% to 77%. From studies that computed multiple measures of persistence using different criteria, the authors concluded: "(1) requiring impairment to be present for diagnosis reduced persistence rates; (2) a norm-based symptom threshold led to higher persistence than a strict six-symptom DSM-based symptom count criterion; and (3) informant reports tended to show a higher number of symptoms than self-reports." These data have clear implications for what clinicians can do to avoid false positive and false negative diagnoses when diagnosing adult ADHD. It is reassuring that the self-reports of ADHD patients tend to underestimate the number and severity of ADHD symptoms. This means that your patients are not typically exaggerating their symptoms. Put differently, self-reports will not lead you to over-diagnose adult ADHD. Instead, reliance on self-reports can lead to false-negative diagnoses, i.e., concluding that someone does not have ADHD when, in fact, they do. You can avoid false negatives by doing a thorough assessment, which is facilitated by some tools available at www. ADHD in adults. Command described in CME videos there. If you think a patient might have ADHD but are not certain, it would be helpful to collect data from an informant, i.e., someone who knows the patient well such as a spouse, partner, roommate, or parent. You can collect such data by sending home a rating scale or by having the patient bring an informant to a subsequent visit. Dr. Sibley's paper also shows that you can avoid false-negative diagnoses by using a lower symptom threshold than what is required in the diagnostic manual. The new DSM 5 lowered the symptom threshold for adults from six to five. Can you go lower? Yes, but it is essential to show that these symptoms lead to clear impairments in living. Importantly, this symptom threshold refers to the number of symptoms documented in adulthood, not to the number of symptoms retrospectively reported in childhood. To be diagnosed with ADHD in adulthood, one must document that the patient had at least six impairing symptoms of ADHD before the age of 12.

Sibley, M. H., Mitchell, J. T. & Becker, S. P. (2016). Method ofadult diagnosis influences estimated persistence of childhood ADHD: asystematic review of longitudinal studies. Lancet Psychiatry3,1157-1165.

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Meta-analysis Suggests an Adjunct Role for Vitamin D Supplementation for Treating ADHD

Vitamins play important roles in metabolism, immune regulation, and neurodevelopment. Recent studies show that deficiencies in vitamins like D, B6, B12, and folate are common in people with ADHD and ASD (autism spectrum disorder), and are associated with behavioral, cognitive, and brain development issues. 

The Study:

A study team based in China has just performed a systematic search of the peer-reviewed medical literature to perform meta-analyses of clinical trials exploring vitamin interventions in the treatment of ADHD and ASD.  

ADHD trials included participants with an official diagnosis. The primary intervention was vitamin supplements, while other treatments, including medications, remained unchanged or were excluded during the study period. ADHD outcomes included measurable changes in ADHD symptoms using validated rating scales and executive function measures. 

Eligible studies included standard or sham control groups, crossover, parallel, or other clinical trial designs. In crossover studies, only first-phase data were analyzed to prevent carryover effects. 

Ten trials with 852 participants met the standards, but meta-analysis showed no significant results. The outcomes varied widely, suggesting a need to distinguish among vitamins. 

Results:

Of the five trials involving 347 participants that specifically evaluated vitamin D supplementation, results indicated a large effect size improvement in ADHD symptoms and executive function measures. The other five studies did not show any observable improvement. 

Key limitations include: 

  • Vitamin D supplementation studies were not separately assessed. 
  • High heterogeneity persisted in study outcomes, likely due to varying study designs. 
  • Participant numbers were relatively small. 

The team concluded, “This meta-analysis supports the use of vitamin supplementation as a promising adjunctive treatment for ASD and ADHD. Vitamin B showed greater benefits in improving symptoms of ASD, while vitamin D was more effective in managing ADHD-related behaviors. These findings suggest that specific vitamins may target disorder-specific symptoms. Despite limitations such as the lack of trials on other vitamins and limited understanding of underlying mechanisms, vitamin therapy remains a low-cost, accessible option.” 

An important limitation of this work is that the positive results for vitamin D were due to two studies from Iran.  So far, no positive study has emerged from a non-Iranian study.

Interpretation: 

The vitamin D findings are intriguing and could be important if replicated outside of Iran. Since supplementation is already widely recommended to those with limited sunlight exposure, clinicians may want to consider monitoring their patients’ vitamin D intake, especially in the winter months. It should be noted, however, that due to the limitations of this study, the results are by no means conclusive, and vitamin D should not be taken as a stand-alone treatment for ADHD. 

October 10, 2025

Analysis of ADHD Comorbidities and Additional Healthcare Costs

Claims-based real-world data can reveal population-level trends in health among people with neurodevelopmental disorders. This new study examined the prevalence, demographics, and chronic comorbidities of adults and of children and adolescents with ADHD in a large national health plan. It also compared healthcare use and costs between those with and without ADHD. 

A research team in the United States conducted an observational cohort study using claims data from more than 1.9 million adults and nearly 500,000 children and adolescents, comparing individuals diagnosed with ADHD to those without the diagnosis. 

ADHD was diagnosed in 4% of adults and in 5% of children and adolescents. 

Comorbidities By The Numbers: 

Disruptive childhood disorders are behavioral problems marked by ongoing defiance, uncooperativeness, and aggression that affect a child's daily life and relationships. The main types, oppositional defiant disorder (ODD) and conduct disorder (CD), involve persistent anger and argumentativeness in ODD, and more severe actions like aggression, cruelty, and criminal behavior in CD. Without treatment, these common childhood disorders can continue into adulthood and raise the risks of substance use, violence, incarceration, and early death. 

Disruptive childhood disorders were twenty times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and fifteen times more frequent among adults with ADHD. 

Bipolar disorder was twelve times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and seven times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Schizophrenia was eleven times more prevalent among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and three-and-a-half times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Anxiety was nine times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and more than five times more frequent among adults with ADHD. 

Depression was eight times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and more than five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Suicidal ideation was eight times more prevalent, and suicide attempt seven times more prevalent, among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD. Both suicidal ideation and suicide attempt were five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Gender dysphoria was almost six times more frequent among children and adolescents with ADHD than among those without ADHD diagnosis, and five times more frequent among adults with ADHD.  

Eating disorders were over four times more common among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and five times more common among adults with ADHD. 

Substance-related disorders were over six times more prevalent, and alcohol use disorder was six times more prevalent among children and adolescents with ADHD than those without ADHD, and four and three times more prevalent among adults with ADHD. 

Increased Costs of Medical Care:

These comorbidities and ADHD led to higher medical costs. Children and adolescents with ADHD spent $610 more annually on healthcare than those without, while adults with ADHD had $1,684 higher average yearly expenditures than non-ADHD adults. 

The Take-Away:

This large claims-based analysis of a national commercial insurer found ADHD diagnoses in roughly 4% of adults and 5% of children. It documented substantially higher rates of co-occurring behavioral-health conditions and markedly greater healthcare utilization and expenditures among those with ADHD. The authors report increased odds for several co-occurring diagnoses, as well as higher per-member-per-month (PMPM) spending and per-thousand-per-month (PTPM) utilization, largely driven by greater use of behavioral health services. 

Importantly, these results come from cross-sectional, claims data within a commercially insured population: they describe associations, not causal relationships, and may not generalize to uninsured, publicly insured, or otherwise different populations. These findings, therefore, warrant cautious interpretation and highlight the need for longitudinal and more representative studies to clarify drivers of the increased burden and to inform care and policy.

Population Study Finds Strong Association Between Assisted Reproductive Technologies and Offspring ADHD

Taiwanese Nationwide Population Study Finds Strong Association Between Assisted Reproductive Technologies and Offspring ADHD

Background: 

Since the first in vitro fertilization (IVF) in 1978, assisted reproductive technology (ART) has led to over 10 million births worldwide.  

There are four types of embryo transfers, depending on whether they are fresh or frozen, and on their developmental stage. 

Fresh cleavage stage embryos are transferred on day 2 or 3 following fertilization and typically contain four to eight relatively large, undifferentiated cells. Fresh blastocyst embryos are transferred on day 5 or 6 after fertilization. At this point, they have developed over a hundred cells and have differentiated into two types: the inner cell mass, which develops into the fetus, and the outer cell layer, which forms the placenta. 

Globally, more children are now born through assisted reproductive technology using frozen-thawed embryo transfer than fresh embryo transfer.  

Research suggests that ART-conceived offspring may face increased risks of cardiovascular, musculoskeletal, chromosomal, urogenital diseases, and cancers. Might they also be at increased risk for ADHD? 

Study:

Taiwan’s single-payer health insurance covers over 99% of people and records all their healthcare activity. Since 1998, it has kept an ART database for all couples registered for IVF treatment. 

A Taiwanese research team reviewed all records for the five-year period from 2013 through 2017, ultimately analyzing 3,125 live singleton births from fresh cleavage stages, 1,332 from fresh blastocysts, 1,465 from frozen cleavage stages, and 4,708 from frozen blastocysts, alongside 878,643 naturally conceived singleton births. 

The team controlled for the following potential confounders: pregnancy-induced hypertension, chronic hypertension, diabetes mellitus, gestational diabetes mellitus, unhealthy lifestyle, placenta previa, placenta abruption, preterm premature rupture of membrane, and postpartum hemorrhage. 

Results:

With these adjustments, cleavage stage embryo transfers, whether fresh or frozen, were associated with a seven-fold higher rate of ADHD diagnosis in offspring than natural conception. 

Frozen blastocyst embryo transfers were likewise linked to a seven-fold increase in ADHD diagnoses in offspring compared to natural conception. Notably, fresh blastocyst transfers showed a 19-fold increase, likely due to the smaller number of cases in this category. 

The team concluded, “Compared to natural conception, ART is associated with higher risks, particularly for preterm birth, ADHD, and developmental delay.” 

Conclusion: 

This large national cohort suggests that ART-conceived singletons face higher rates of several adverse outcomes, including preterm birth, ADHD, and developmental delay. Clinicians and prospective parents should therefore weigh these potential associations when counseling and planning care, prioritize optimized ART protocols and perinatal management, and ensure early developmental surveillance for ART-conceived children so concerns can be identified and addressed promptly.

It is important to note that the findings also point to the likely contribution of underlying parental infertility in these developmental outcomes. Future research should aim to disentangle parental- versus procedure-related risks to clarify absolute risk magnitudes. As always, associations of this time should not be interpreted as causal due to the inability of observational studies to rule out all possible confounding factors.

October 1, 2025